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	<title>54pesos &#187; bailout</title>
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	<description>Everything I believed about the relationship between economic development and happiness was a joke... i.e.,¿ ∆$ → ∆:) ?                                                       Todo lo que creía sobre la relación entre felicidad y desarrollo económico era una maldita broma</description>
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		<title>54pesos &#187; bailout</title>
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		<title>What would you do with 700bn?</title>
		<link>http://54pesos.org/2008/10/01/what-would-you-do-with-700bn/</link>
		<comments>http://54pesos.org/2008/10/01/what-would-you-do-with-700bn/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Oct 2008 17:44:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Luis Flores Ballesteros</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economic Development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bail-out money for development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bailout]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://luisballesteros.wordpress.com/?p=135</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Embedded in the macroeconomic data, we tend to lose the ability to surprise ourselves when we hear the big numbers; 1 billion of USD here another 50bn there. When it comes to bailouts and bank mergers, it is especially hard to have a reference. Oxfam&#8217;s Head of Research Duncan Green puts the US financial sector&#8217;s [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=54pesos.org&#038;blog=4820701&#038;post=135&#038;subd=luisballesteros&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Embedded in the macroeconomic data, we tend to lose the ability to surprise ourselves when we hear the big numbers; 1 billion of USD here another 50bn there. When it comes to bailouts and bank mergers, it is especially hard to have a reference. Oxfam&#8217;s Head of Research <a href="http://www.oxfamblogs.org/fp2p/?page_id=2">Duncan Green</a> puts the US financial sector&#8217;s bailout into perspective<span>:</span></p>
<p>700bn USD:</p>
<ul>
<li> Would clear the accumulated debt of the 49 poorest countries in the world (<a href="http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/DATASTATISTICS/0,,contentMDK:21725423%7EpagePK:64133150%7EpiPK:64133175%7EtheSitePK:239419,00.html">$375bn</a>) twice over</li>
<li>Is almost 5 times the annual amount of extra aid needed to achieve all the <a href="http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/">Millennium Development Goals</a> on poverty, health, education etc (<a href="http://www.oxfam.org.uk/resources/policy/debt_aid/bp113_credibility_crunch.html">$150bn a year</a>)</li>
<li>Is about 7 years of current global aid levels (<a href="http://www.oecd.org/document/8/0,3343,en_2649_34447_40381960_1_1_1_1,00.html">$104bn in 2007</a>)</li>
<li>Is enough to eradicate all world poverty for over two years (UNDP  calculates it would take <a href="http://hdr.undp.org/en/reports/global/hdr2005/">$300bn </a>to get the entire world population over the $1 a day poverty line).</li>
</ul>
<p>On the other hand it’s</p>
<ul>
<li> only a quarter of the cost of the Iraq war (<a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/Three-Trillion-Dollar-War-Conflict/dp/1846141281/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1222593629&amp;sr=8-1">$3 trillion</a> on Joseph Stiglitz’ calculation )</li>
<li> a half of annual global military spending (<a href="http://www.sipri.org/">$1339 bn</a>)</li>
</ul>
<p>To keep calculating, don&#8217;t forget that the estimated martket value gone right after the House rejected the bail-out plan was much more thant the package itself (<span>about $1.5 trillion).</span></p>
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			<media:title type="html">Luis F. Ballesteros</media:title>
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		<title>The bailout was rejected, now what?</title>
		<link>http://54pesos.org/2008/09/29/the-bailout-was-rejected-now-what/</link>
		<comments>http://54pesos.org/2008/09/29/the-bailout-was-rejected-now-what/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Sep 2008 20:52:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Luis Flores Ballesteros</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bail-out package rejected]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial crisis in US]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://luisballesteros.wordpress.com/?p=125</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When economic and financial analyst, politicians and savvy bankers are still trying to understand what went wrong, the United States´House of Representatives voted today to reject the $700-billion rescue of the financial markets. As evidenced by the events in Washington, the decision is influenced more by the political situation rather than by a thorough economic [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=54pesos.org&#038;blog=4820701&#038;post=125&#038;subd=luisballesteros&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align:justify;">When economic and financial analyst, politicians and savvy bankers are still trying to understand what went wrong, the United States´House of Representatives voted today to reject the $700-billion rescue of the financial markets. As evidenced by the <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/30/business/30bailout.html?hp">events</a> in Washington, the decision is influenced more by the political situation rather than by a thorough economic assessment.</p>
<p style="text-align:justify;"><a href="http://luisballesteros.files.wordpress.com/2008/09/021camaras0021a.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-133" title="bailout vote" src="http://luisballesteros.files.wordpress.com/2008/09/021camaras0021a.jpg?w=500" alt=""   /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:justify;">If you want to build a more educated guess about the future consequences of the debate of whom the financial rescue would benefit, then google Fobrapoa  Mexico, 1994-2006. The difference in the Mexican case is that the bail-out package was approved and the rescue implemented. What will happen in the US? It seems like 1) bailout and <em>controlled </em>crisis or 2) no-bailout and the end of the world as we know it.<img src="/DOCUME~1/Luis/LOCALS~1/Temp/moz-screenshot-14.jpg" alt="" /><img src="/DOCUME~1/Luis/LOCALS~1/Temp/moz-screenshot-15.jpg" alt="" /></p>
<p>In the meantime this is the market&#8217;s reaction to the vote:</p>
<p><a href="http://luisballesteros.files.wordpress.com/2008/09/apiasp.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-126" title="apiasp" src="http://luisballesteros.files.wordpress.com/2008/09/apiasp.gif?w=500" alt=""   /></a></p>
<p>And (as reported by the BBC):</p>
<ul class="bulletList">
<li>Wachovia, the fourth-largest US bank, was bought by larger rival Citigroup in a rescue deal backed by US authorities</li>
<li>Benelux banking giant Fortis was partially nationalised by the Dutch, Belgian and Luxembourg governments to ensure its survival</li>
<li>The UK government announced it was nationalising the Bradford &amp; Bingley bank</li>
<li>Global shares fell sharply &#8211; France&#8217;s key index lost 5%, Germany&#8217;s main market dropped 4% while US shares plunged after the vote result was announced.</li>
</ul>
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			<media:title type="html">Luis F. Ballesteros</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">bailout vote</media:title>
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