Feeds:
Posts
Comments

Posts Tagged ‘bailout’

Embedded in the macroeconomic data, we tend to lose the ability to surprise ourselves when we hear the big numbers; 1 billion of USD here another 50bn there. When it comes to bailouts and bank mergers, it is especially hard to have a reference. Oxfam’s Head of Research Duncan Green puts the US financial sector’s bailout into perspective:

700bn USD:

  • Would clear the accumulated debt of the 49 poorest countries in the world ($375bn) twice over
  • Is almost 5 times the annual amount of extra aid needed to achieve all the Millennium Development Goals on poverty, health, education etc ($150bn a year)
  • Is about 7 years of current global aid levels ($104bn in 2007)
  • Is enough to eradicate all world poverty for over two years (UNDP  calculates it would take $300bn to get the entire world population over the $1 a day poverty line).

On the other hand it’s

  • only a quarter of the cost of the Iraq war ($3 trillion on Joseph Stiglitz’ calculation )
  • a half of annual global military spending ($1339 bn)

To keep calculating, don’t forget that the estimated martket value gone right after the House rejected the bail-out plan was much more thant the package itself (about $1.5 trillion).

Read Full Post »

When economic and financial analyst, politicians and savvy bankers are still trying to understand what went wrong, the United States´House of Representatives voted today to reject the $700-billion rescue of the financial markets. As evidenced by the events in Washington, the decision is influenced more by the political situation rather than by a thorough economic assessment.

If you want to build a more educated guess about the future consequences of the debate of whom the financial rescue would benefit, then google Fobrapoa  Mexico, 1994-2006. The difference in the Mexican case is that the bail-out package was approved and the rescue implemented. What will happen in the US? It seems like 1) bailout and controlled crisis or 2) no-bailout and the end of the world as we know it.

In the meantime this is the market’s reaction to the vote:

And (as reported by the BBC):

  • Wachovia, the fourth-largest US bank, was bought by larger rival Citigroup in a rescue deal backed by US authorities
  • Benelux banking giant Fortis was partially nationalised by the Dutch, Belgian and Luxembourg governments to ensure its survival
  • The UK government announced it was nationalising the Bradford & Bingley bank
  • Global shares fell sharply – France’s key index lost 5%, Germany’s main market dropped 4% while US shares plunged after the vote result was announced.

Read Full Post »

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.